Week 11 is in the books and we're happy to leave it on the side of the road as we continue through the 2020 season. Unlike our solid Week 10 run, this slate of games wasn't particularly kind, handing us an abysmal 3-11 ATS mark. The noticeable mi ses were the failing to cover a 6.5 spread against Vegas, a field goal advantage not being enough for the over the , and both the and falling just short against the and against the spread, respectfully. These types of weeks are bound to happen from time-to-time and because we've been rolling for quite some time, we were in line for a bit of a humbling week. As we shake off Week 11 and make it more of an outlier, we'll look towards Week 12 where we'll hopefully have a bit more to be thankful for as we have three Thanksgiving day games on the docket on Thursday, along with our usual Sunday slate and Monday Night Football. As we await Andrew Hammond Women Jersey the holiday kickoff, here's a look at who I'm leaning towards heading into this week. All are via William Hill Sportsbook. Baltimore at Pittsburgh Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) While Pittsburgh walked away with the win back in Week 8, it wasn't by much. The only lost by four points and arguably played better than the totaling 457 yards of offense to their 221 yards. Had it not been for four turnovers, they likely would have slapped the Steelers with their first lo s of 2020. We expect Jackson, who is 6-1 ATS as an underdog in his career, to have a cleaner outing on Thanksgiving, keeping this game close and likely determined by a field goal. Because Pittsburgh is the better all-around team, I expect they'll find a way to win, but it's wise to lean on the points with Baltimore here. Projectedscore: Steelers 23, Ravens 20 My pick: Ravens +4 Arizona at New England Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX) Latest Odds: Arizona Cardinals -1 I expect the Cardinals to snap their 0-3 ATS streak against New England on Sunday. The had tremendous problems containing in Week 11 and those same i sues could arise with , who has a similar skillset and is currently playing at a higher level. Even if they try to apply a bit more pre sure onto Murray than they did Watson, his speed should be able to get him out of whatever the Patriots Henrik Sedin Jersey throw his way. Together, Murray and head coach Kliff Kingsbury, a former Patriots quarterback once upon a time, are 8-3-2 on the road and are 5-1 ATS in the Eastern Time Zone. Projectedscore: Arizona 27, New England 17 My pick: Arizona -2.5 Las Vegas at Atlanta Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: Las Vegas Raiders -3.5 The continue to be slept on a bit, despite taking the Kansas City Cheifs to the brink in Week 11. They have covered four-straight games and are now 7-3 ATS this season. While the have been able to remain somewhat respectable in the aftermath of Dan Quinn's firing, they are not trustworthy enough to lean on here. Atlanta struggled to protect against the last time out, allowing eight sacks while the offense only mustered nine points. If those struggles continue, the Raiders should have no problem cruising over this field goal spread. This season, Las Vegas is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite. Projectedscore: Las Vegas 28, Atlanta 17 My pick: Las Vegas -3 Cleveland at Jacksonville Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: Cleveland Browns -7.5 Despite a 7-3 record, the don't make it easy on themselves. Their -23 point differential is the worst by Teppo Numminen Jersey any 7-3 team or better through 10 games in the Super Bowl era. That said, Jacksonville isn't in the busine s of winning games in 2020, losing nine straight after winning the season opener. With back in full swing in the Browns offense, I expect Kevin Stefanski's team to clear this game by at least a touchdown. In the six games that Chubb has been active, the Browns are averaging over 100 more rushing yards per game than in the four games he was inactive. They also have 10 rushing touchdowns in those six games he was on the field compared to zero rushing scores when he was out. He's the definition of a difference-maker against a team that is allowing the ninth-most rushing yards per game this season. Projectedscore: Cleveland Phil Esposito Jersey 20, Jacksonville 9 My pick: Cleveland -6.5 Houston at Detroit Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: Houston Texans -3 Deshaun Watson reminded us last week against New England that he can will his team to victory on any given Sunday. Not only that, but Houston's run defense showed improvement against the Patriots' strong rushing attack in Week 11. This is part of the heating up for their standards, covering back-to-back games since starting the year off 1-7 ATS. As he prepares to take on the on Thanksgiving, it's worth nothing he's 7-0 straight-up in his career on short rest and 3-2-2 ATS. While the Lions have historically played well on Thanksgiving (6-2 ATS in their last eight games), this version of Detroit looks like they've lost faith in their head coach as of late, coming into Week 12 1-3 SU and ATS over their last four games. Projectedscore: Texans 28, Detroit 20 My pick: Houston -2.5 Washington at Dallas Projectedscore: Washington 21, Dallas 17 My pick: Washington +3 L.A. at Buffalo Projectedscore: Buffalo 24, L.A. Chargers 20 My pick: L.A. Chargers +5.5 N.Y. at Cincinnati Projectedscore: N.Y. Giants 24, Cincinnati 14 My pick: N.Y. Giants -5.5 Tenne see at Indianapolis Projectedscore: Indianapolis 27, Tenne see 21 My pick: Indianapolis -4 Carolina at Minnesota Projectedscore: Minnesota 24, Carolina 17 My pick: Minnesota -4 Miami at N.Y. Projectedscore: Miami 23, N.Y. Jets 13 My pick: Miami -7 New Orleans at Denver Projectedscore: New Orleans 28, Denver 14 My pick: New Orleans -5.5 San Francisco at L.A. Projectedscore: L.A. Rams 30, San Francisco 20 My pick: L.A Jay Bouwmeester Jersey . Rams -7.5 Kansas City at Tampa Bay Projectedscore: Kansas City 30, Tampa Bay 28 My pick: Tampa Bay +3 Chicago at Green Bay