Conventional wisdom says the are 60 minutes away from winning their sixth Lombardi Trophy. In his career, has mounted 42 fourth-quarter comebacks and 53 game-winning drives, including 11 in the postseason. (Eleven!) Not surprisingly, New England is just as dangerous when playing with a lead; in the Brady era, they are 147-25 in games where they score first, according to . But instead of throwing up their hands, dropping their heads and sulking all the way back to Philly, the are actually going to take a run at this -- and for good reason. For starters, they have the league's No. 5 defense, according to , and they're nearly as efficient against the pa s (7th) as the run (3rd). And while, yes, the Patriots do have six Super Bowl titles, they could just Terrence Ross Jersey as easily have two or three; the blew a 25-point lead last year, and two years before that, the inexplicably decided to throw at the 1-yard line instead of give the ball to . In Super Bowl XXXVIII, the ' kickoff out of bounds in the closing minutes proved to be the difference. This isn't to say the Patriots are where they are because they're the galaxy's luckiest team, but that the combination of the game's greatest coach, greatest quarterback and a little luck has translated into the game's greatest team of the century. The Eagles can take solace in that; even with all these perceived advantages nothing was ever easy for them in the Super Bowl. Put another way: It would be silly to dismi s Philly outright. This may help explain why, after the line opened with the Eagles as 5.5-point underdogs, . Gambling interests aside, there are other reasons to like the Eagles' chances. Remember, the end was nigh after tore his ACL in December. There was no way backup could pick up the slack, much le s recapture anything resembling the form he displayed in Khem Birch Jersey 2013 when he started 10 games for Chip Kelly's Eagles and threw 27 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Instead, Foles was inconsistent in three regular-season starts, which went a long way in explaining why the NFC's No. 1 seed was an underdog at home first in their divisional matchup against the Falcons and then again in the championship game against the . Foles' performance varied between efficient and spectacular in those two games, and for the playoffs he completed 78 percent of his pa ses with three touchdowns, no turnovers and a pa ser rating of 122.1 (including a 141.4 rating against the Vikings). But as , mind-blowing performances in one playoff game game doesn't predict subsequent postseason succe s. As an example, there are seven instances since 2001 of a quarterback posting a Nikola Vucevic Jersey pa ser rating better than Foles' 141.4 in a playoff win. It's a group that includes Chad Pennington, , and two performances from and Kurt Warner, all of whom are far more pedigreed than Foles. Those seven pa sers went 3-4 the following week with an average pa ser rating of 82.6.But here's the good news: The Eagles aren't solely reliant on Foles to carry them to their first Lombardi Trophy. If that burden falls anywhere it's on the defense. But the unit has been up to the task for most of the season and the entirety of the playoffs and is now one game away from a Super Bowl title. This is no top-secret strategy for making this happen; simply put, the Eagles have to stop the league's best player."You cannot beat New England unle s you get to the head, and the head is Tom Brady," former linebacker and future Hall of Famer Ray Lewis told recently. "So, I think Philly is going to have a tough task on how do they dial up blitzes without letting him know what coverages you're in or doing. That's one of the succe ses we had against Tom over the years."Again, nothing groundbreaking in Lewis' words, but he's exactly right. In last year's Super Bowl, the Falcons, which came into that game with the 26th-ranked defense, Cole Anthony Jersey hara sed Brady for more than a half. The Patriots had just three points midway through the third quarter before exhaustion set in and Brady took over. (When it was over, the Falcons' defense was on the field for 99 plays, which is the equivalent of a game and a half condensed to three-and-a-half hours.)And two weeks ago, the NFL's best defense this season, the , hara sed Brady for nearly three quarters. Jacksonville led by 10 -- in Gillette Stadium, mind you -- but the defense looked tight and out of sorts in the final quarter, right as Brady and the Pats' offense was finding its stride. And while Brady and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels deserve credit for their on-the-fly adjustments, it didn't help the Jaguars' cause that they suddenly stopped being aggre sive. That finally allowed Brady time in the pocket, and he summarily and repeatedly picked apart the defense to the surprise of no one. This isn't to say the Eagles need to blitz Brady silly because he's so incredibly adept at getting the ball out quickly. But the Eagles do need to pre sure him with their front four, and that starts with all-world defensive tackle . When Brady faces pre sure on le s than 40% of pa sing plays, the Patriots take home the hardware.When he faces pre sure on more than 40% of pa sing plays, they don't.The Eagles have put opposing QBs under pre sure on 41.3% of pa Evan Fournier Jersey sing plays Pro Football Focus (@PFF) "Their defensive line, we can all agree, is better than the offensive line in New England," . "That's where they have the advantage. The question is, how do we get to that ... How do we make that play out. On New England's side, they're going to try and take that out of the equation. It comes down to a deep drop-back pa sing offense, and now they've evolved into that."We've seen the Patriots transform back into that spread offense we've always known. They've been seamle s in that transition, not many teams can do that. My gue s is, they'll want to do that to take Philly's defensive line out of the equation ... Get the ball out before they can sack us." To repeat: There is no great secret to beating Brady and the Patriots. In the simplest terms, it comes down to beating the man in front of you and doing it for 60 minutes. It won't be easy but the Eagles' defense is more than capable of doing just that.Prediction: Eagles 21, Patriots 20Super Bowl MVP: Fletcher Cox